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Assembly Speaker
John Perez |
Democratic activists hoping for big gains in the California legislature this year were dealt a serious blow after
campaign finance reports released last Thursday raised troubling questions about Assembly Speaker John Perez's strategic priorities and the California Democratic Party's ability to achieve a two-thirds majority in the State Senate and Assembly.
Democrats currently enjoy a majority in both the Assembly and the State Senate, but would have to pick up at least two more seats in each chamber to achieve the super-majority needed to pass revenue increases over the objections of a recalcitrant Republican minority.
Yet campaign finance reports reveal that Speaker Perez, Sacramento Democratic lawmakers and PACs donated hundreds of thousands of dollars to safe Democratic Assembly districts while virtually ignoring new "swing" districts or defending others against possible Republican pickups.
In the
10th Assembly District (Marin, D+35)
Sacramento Democrats gave $80,600 to Mike Allen, an incumbent Assemblymember who moved into the open district when his existing district was carved up and reapportioned. This, even though Mr. Allen is running against two other Democratic candidates and no Republican opposition.
In the
50th Assembly district (Santa Monica, D+33), Perez and Sacramento Democrats
donated $88,750 to Assemblywoman Betsy Butler, who
moved north to the Democratic stronghold after redistricting meant she'd have to run in the new, more conservative
66th Assembly district (Torrance, D+3). Butler is running against Democratic candidates
Torie Osborn and
Richard Bloom, both long-time residents of the district. The lone Republican in the race,
Brad Torgen, is not considered a viable candidate.
Records also show that most of these donations were given to
Allen and
Butler during a three-week period last December, and that many Democratic Assemblymembers who donated did not give money
to any other Assembly campaigns. The timing suggests a coordinated and conscious effort from leadership to funnel money to these candidates at the expense of other candidates running in more competitive districts.
Perez is also using his considerable energy and influence to secure endorsements for Allen and Butler, including endorsements from the state Democratic Party (which can mean substantial institutional support and resources). In what party insiders are calling an unprecedented move, Perez is using a controversial technique known as "delegate stacking" to pull
dozens of delegate appointments from Assembly members state-wide to vote for Allen and Butler in local endorsement caucuses. Perez's intervention has already secured a state party endorsement for Allen, and virtually guarantees an endorsement for Butler.
But as Butler and Allen enjoy the largess of their colleagues in Sacramento while running in districts so safe a Democratic
corpse could win, two other candidates running in swing districts which could potentially lead to Democratic super-majorities enjoy no such protection.
In the South Bay, Torrance School Board member
Al Muratsuchi became the Democratic candidate for AD66 after Betsy Butler left the district.
Election experts consider the race highly competitive for Republicans, giving them the best opportunity in two decades to pick up a seat in that area.
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AD66 candidate
Al Muratsuc |
However, not a single Sacramento Democrat, including both John Perez and Betsy Butler
have yet to make any financial contributions to his campaign.
Even Democratic State Senator Ted Lieu, whose district overlaps much of AD66,
gave $1,000 to Butler, but nothing so far to Muratsuchi.
Additionally, while PACs - including the Professional Engineers in California Government, the State Building & Construction Trades Council and the California State Council of Laborers - gave over $300,000 to Butler and Allen, many of them presumably at Perez's direction, Muratsuchi received only $11,900 in PAC money, including $1,000 from the California League of Conservation Voters -
$6,800 less than they gave to Betsy Butler.
Sacramento's indifference means Muratsuchi has had to
loan his campaign $45,000 to defend the new South Bay Assembly seat against two Tea Party candidates, Nathan Mintz,
who ran and lost a close race against Butler in 2010, and
Craig Huey, who ran an unsuccessful
$500,000 self-financed congressional campaign against Janice Hahn last year.
(Muratsuchi responded to this story on Calitic.com, "I fully believe that the Speaker will help our campaign raise the funds to make me a member of the state Assembly this November.")
In the Central Valley, where termed-out Assemblywoman Cathleen Galgiani is running for
Senate District 5 (Stockton, D+4), only one Sacramento lawmaker, fellow Democratic Assemblymember Kevin De Leon,
contributed to Galgiani's campaign.
Galgiani has $140,000 in cash on hand while her two Republican opponents, Assemblymember Bill Berryhill and former County Supervisor Leroy Ornellas,
each have twice that amount.
Galgiani represents much of the district now and is considered a popular moderate.
AroundTheCapitol.com reports the race is "likely the bellwether Senate district for 2012....Galgiani came out as gay to the Stockton Record on November 1, and will be running in a district that voted 64% in favor of prohibiting same-sex marriages."
If elected, Galgiani would be the first openly gay legislator elected from a Central Valley district.
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| SD05 candidate Cathleen Gagliani |
Taken in their entirety, campaign finance records, along with reports of political maneuvering, clearly and consistently demonstrate Speaker Perez and Sacramento Democrats are prioritizing the reelection of "incumbent" Assemblymembers in safe, Democratic districts over obtaining a two-thirds majority in the legislature in 2012.
To understand why, you need to understand the Holy Trinity of most California politicians: money, term limits, and the value of personal relationships.
First, lets talk about money. If you're part of the Democratic Assembly caucus in Sacramento, it makes sense to collectively pool your fundraising and PAC resources so you don't have to do what AD50 candidate Torie Osborn has had to do every day for the last 15 months - solicit funds from small-dollar individual donors. Her work paid off,
having raised $520,000 from 1,639 individual donors, but that sort of labor-intensive fundraising isn't practical for sitting lawmakers trying to legislate during a 2-year election cycle.
So the caucus pools resources through their individual campaign committees, building up massive war chests with millions of dollars donated each year from individuals, corporations, and political PACs. In turn, these resources are apportioned and prioritized by the leadership. Which is where Speaker Perez comes into play.
In 2010, John Perez
survived a bruising political fight to became the first openly gay Assembly Speaker in the chamber's history, succeeding the termed-out Karen Bass. As Majority Leader in the California Assembly, the Speaker
wields considerable power by controlling the caucus' purse strings. Theoretically, if there's an opportunity to flip a red district blue and maximize his caucus' chances of achieving a super-majority, that's where Perez should be spending money.
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| AD10 candidate Mike Allen |
Instead, Perez's primary objective in 2012 appears to be consolidating loyalty within his own caucus by taking care of vulnerable members who aren't yet subject to term limits - in this case Allen and Butler, neither whom are termed out until 2016 (remember, Galgiani, the Assemblymember running for Senate in the Central Valley, is termed out this year). Nothing consolidates loyalty like cash.
Term limits factor heavily in this game as well. California lawmaker's careers are short - only 6 years in the Assembly and 8 in the state Senate. Perez himself is termed out of the Assembly in 2014. While I'm not suggesting intervention on Allen's and Butler's behalf is a literal case of quid pro quo, it
is indicative of a culture of mutual protection, where an insular community of Sacramento lawmakers trade favors and keep careful score against the day they'll need to cash in their chits.
Perez is not alone in this - most Sacramento lawmakers see politics not just as a calling but as a career. As a result, both Democrats and Republicans are caught in a cycle of short term gain over long term, strategic thinking.
For Republicans, it's radicalized their caucus as moderate representatives find themselves challenged, their livelihoods threatened if they
dare break with Grover Norquist.
For Democrats, it's meant an endlessly revolving door between the private and public sectors, where lobbyists spend millions to influence lawmakers and termed-out lawmakers
become lobbyists to influence former colleagues. It forces even the most altruistic lawmakers to limit their horizons to only a few years into the future, and less altruistic lawmakers to be more accountable to special interests than they are to the voting public.
All this raises an even more troubling question. Do Sacramento Democrats even
want to achieve a two-thirds majority?
Doing so would mean taking ownership of the mess our state is in, and making tough, unpopular calls on tax increases vs spending cuts. Raise taxes and risk the wrath of Californians who mistakenly believe
cutting "waste, fraud and abuse" would fix everything, or keep whacking away at the social safety net or infrastructure spending and risk alienating powerful public employee unions sick of seeing their membership take the brunt of Sacramento's budget woes.
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AD50 candidate
Betsy Butler |
Either scenario would be deeply unattractive to a lawmaker with one eye on the exit sign worried about their next job.
Political insiders will claim this just isn't true, that Sacramento's strategy will change after the June primaries, focusing less on incumbents and more on flipping swing districts.
However, even if accurate, considering California's new top-two election rules, it's a deeply flawed strategy.
In the case of both AD66 and SD05, there's no guarantee Muratrsuchi and Galgiani will survive a June primary and make it to November. And even if they do, their well-funded opponents will have already had a six-month head start to rip the Democrats to shreds with negative mailers and media spots.
When the California Citizens Redistricting Commission upended the political landscape in 2012, it opened up a unique opportunity for Democrats, but only if we have the foresight and political will to take advantage of that opportunity. Now is the time to stop paying lip service about achieving a two-thirds legislative majority
and actually do something about it.
Until that happens, we're just kidding ourselves that we can fix what's really wrong with California. The best we can hope for is triage.
As our convention convenes this weekend in San Diego, I hope the delegates, activists, candidates and politicians assembled will take a hard, cold look at how the political landscape is shifting beneath our feet.
These issues are more important than any single election or candidate, they go to the very heart of what it means to be a Democrat in California in 2012.
UPDATE:
State Senator Ted Lieu responds:
Re: My $1000 contribution to Betsy Butler's committee. As you know, I have not endorsed in the race. The contribution was made in April 2011, months before the first draft of Assembly maps were released, and months before Betsy Butler announced where she was running. In early fall, my Ted Lieu for Senate 2011 committee was frozen due to the Kinde Durkee case.
Regarding AD 66, when the Kinde Durkee legal proceedings are resolved, I will contribute to Al Muratsuchi's campaign. I endorsed him early and am helping him in a variety of other ways.
